Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.003825 0.004015 0.004209 0.004422 0.004651 0.004890 0.005156
2025-01-26 0.003500 0.003787 0.004092 0.004443 0.004837 0.005267 0.005774
2025-02-02 0.003366 0.003718 0.004105 0.004563 0.005095 0.005697 0.006434
2025-02-09 0.003166 0.003551 0.003983 0.004508 0.005133 0.005859 0.006777
2025-02-16 0.003027 0.003441 0.003914 0.004500 0.005214 0.006065 0.007170
2025-02-23 0.002899 0.003333 0.003837 0.004472 0.005262 0.006224 0.007506
2025-03-02 0.002826 0.003284 0.003825 0.004519 0.005398 0.006493 0.007990
2025-03-09 0.002721 0.003191 0.003752 0.004483 0.005425 0.006621 0.008292
2025-03-16 0.002623 0.003102 0.003680 0.004443 0.005441 0.006731 0.008570
2025-03-23 0.002519 0.003000 0.003587 0.004370 0.005408 0.006771 0.008752
2025-03-30 0.002427 0.002908 0.003502 0.004304 0.005380 0.006813 0.008934
2025-04-06 0.002373 0.002864 0.003476 0.004311 0.005449 0.006988 0.009313
2025-04-13 0.002254 0.002734 0.003336 0.004165 0.005305 0.006867 0.009258
2025-04-20 0.002210 0.002699 0.003320 0.004184 0.005390 0.007069 0.009696
2025-04-27 0.002206 0.002716 0.003371 0.004294 0.005606 0.007468 0.010456
2025-05-04 0.002139 0.002648 0.003306 0.004244 0.005589 0.007526 0.010687
2025-05-11 0.002093 0.002606 0.003275 0.004236 0.005633 0.007675 0.011070
2025-05-18 0.002043 0.002557 0.003231 0.004210 0.005649 0.007780 0.011385
2025-05-25 0.002020 0.002544 0.003236 0.004253 0.005767 0.008045 0.011983
2025-06-01 0.001972 0.002494 0.003191 0.004221 0.005769 0.008130 0.012279
2025-06-08 0.001925 0.002445 0.003143 0.004184 0.005763 0.008200 0.012551
2025-06-15 0.001870 0.002384 0.003077 0.004116 0.005707 0.008187 0.012675
2025-06-22 0.001819 0.002327 0.003016 0.004055 0.005658 0.008182 0.012813